UMass Amherst
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
785  Rachel Hilliard JR 21:19
1,056  Christine Davis FR 21:37
1,356  Alexandra Purdue-Smithe SR 21:56
1,531  Katie Powers JR 22:06
1,831  Heather MacLean FR 22:24
1,846  Sarah Barrett SR 22:25
1,850  Carly Zinner SO 22:25
2,287  Mary Cole SR 22:54
2,328  Molly McMahon SO 22:57
2,352  Katrina Martyn SR 22:59
2,700  Sarah Burke JR 23:23
2,735  Robyn Argo JR 23:26
3,059  Margaret Blatchford FR 23:58
3,305  Jasmine Abreu SR 24:35
National Rank #192 of 340
Northeast Region Rank #24 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 22.4%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rachel Hilliard Christine Davis Alexandra Purdue-Smithe Katie Powers Heather MacLean Sarah Barrett Carly Zinner Mary Cole Molly McMahon Katrina Martyn Sarah Burke
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/27 1236 21:22 21:37 22:01 22:33 22:24 22:25 22:24 22:44 23:01 23:28 23:20
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 1188 20:50 21:51 21:37 21:43 22:16 22:23 23:09 23:00 23:49
NEICAAA New England Championship 10/12 1220 21:12 21:26 21:55 22:07 22:40 22:21 22:52
CCSU Mini Meet 10/25 1247 22:00 21:37 22:23 21:47 22:21 22:34 23:35 22:40 23:26
Atlantic 10 Championships 11/02 1220 21:21 21:32 21:41 21:47 22:15 22:15 22:47 22:58 23:06
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 1248 21:19 21:44 22:09 23:38 22:40 22:43 22:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 22.2 665 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.8 6.8 10.3 14.4 16.9 16.2 15.1 8.9 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Hilliard 91.1
Christine Davis 113.3
Alexandra Purdue-Smithe 140.1
Katie Powers 153.7
Heather MacLean 175.6
Sarah Barrett 176.4
Carly Zinner 176.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 1.3% 1.3 17
18 3.8% 3.8 18
19 6.8% 6.8 19
20 10.3% 10.3 20
21 14.4% 14.4 21
22 16.9% 16.9 22
23 16.2% 16.2 23
24 15.1% 15.1 24
25 8.9% 8.9 25
26 3.8% 3.8 26
27 1.6% 1.6 27
28 0.5% 0.5 28
29 0.2% 0.2 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0